Northwire Canada EditionThursday, November 12, 2026
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Gold 4,000.50 −0.7% Silver 52.00 +1.5% Copper 6.27 +0.5% Oil 86.53 +0.6% Palladium 1,030.00 +0.9% TIG 0.800 +0.0% RVG 0.715 −4.0% FNV 354.26 −2.4% FDY 4.30 −0.5% MAU 16.05 −3.2% VOXR 6.78 −0.6% TLO 7.04 −1.0% NICU 1.95 −5.8% VTEN 0.440 +0.0% AWM 0.025 +0.0% OR 50.79 −1.8% AUXX 5.30 −5.5% TNR 0.420 +40.0% ORCL 0.030 +0.0% ELD 47.71 −5.4% OPW 0.140 −6.7% Gold 4,000.50 −0.7% Silver 52.00 +1.5% Copper 6.27 +0.5% Oil 86.53 +0.6% Palladium 1,030.00 +0.9% TIG 0.800 +0.0% RVG 0.715 −4.0% FNV 354.26 −2.4% FDY 4.30 −0.5% MAU 16.05 −3.2% VOXR 6.78 −0.6% TLO 7.04 −1.0% NICU 1.95 −5.8% VTEN 0.440 +0.0% AWM 0.025 +0.0% OR 50.79 −1.8% AUXX 5.30 −5.5% TNR 0.420 +40.0% ORCL 0.030 +0.0% ELD 47.71 −5.4% OPW 0.140 −6.7%
Earnings Material −

Franco-Nevada Reports Q3 2026 Results

Franco-Nevada’s third-quarter earnings rose on higher gold prices, but the company lowered its full-year gold production guidance to the midpoint of its previous range.

Executive Summary

Franco-Nevada Corporation reported third-quarter 2026 revenue of US$549.3 million, a 13% increase year over year. Net income rose 38% to US$395.5 million, or US$2.05 per share, while adjusted EBITDA grew 15% to US$493.9 million, or US$2.56 per share. Operating cash flow increased 23% to US$429.2 million.

Gold equivalent ounces sold declined 6% to 130,435, with net gold equivalent ounces sold falling 3% to 120,857. Management noted that precious metal deliveries were slightly below expectations for the period. Consequently, the company narrowed its total 2026 gold equivalent ounce guidance to 525,000–555,000 from the previous range of 510,000–570,000, though the midpoint remains at 540,000. The revised guidance reflects specific changes by metal: gold is now projected at 355,000–385,000 ounces, down from 360,000–400,000 ounces; silver is set at 4.7–5.0 million ounces, reduced from 4.7–5.5 million ounces; and platinum group metals are forecast at 30,000–34,000 ounces, down from 32,000–37,000 ounces. Conversely, diversified revenue guidance was raised to US$300–330 million from US$245–285 million.

At Cobre Panamá, the company processed stockpiles during the quarter, receiving and selling 3,716 gold equivalent ounces. Franco-Nevada expects total stream deliveries of approximately 23,100 gold ounces and 265,000 silver ounces, with one-third of second-half 2026 deliveries anticipated in that period. A US$10.3 million partial impairment reversal was recorded in connection with the site.

Portfolio activity included an additional US$121.0 million investment in the Bullabulling royalty, lifting the gross royalty rate to 3.90%, alongside a US$21.0 million equity subscription. The company also made an US$8.0 million payment for a Porcupine royalty extension. Additionally, IAMGOLD provided notice to buy back 50% of the Côté Gold GMR for an expected cash consideration of at least US$525.0 million, which will reduce the GMR rate from 7.5% to 3.75% effective January 1, 2027.

Franco-Nevada declared a dividend of US$0.44 per share. As of September 30, 2026, available capital stood at US$4.8 billion with no debt.

Material Impact

Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) reported earnings characterized by price-led growth, with revenue rising 13% while gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) fell 6%. This dynamic lifted revenue per GEO to approximately US$4,211 from US$3,514 a year earlier, representing a roughly 20% increase.

The company revised its volume guidance downward across several metals. Gold guidance was cut at both ends, silver’s upper bound was reduced by 0.5 moz, and PGM guidance was lowered by 2,000–3,000 oz. Management also shifted its total GEO guidance from the “upper half” to the “mid-range.” Because precious metals accounted for 84% of Q3 revenue, this core volume revision carries more weight than the increase in energy revenue.

Diversified revenue guidance rose to US$300–330 million from US$245–285 million, with the midpoint increasing by US$50 million, or about 19%. This rise allowed the total GEO midpoint to remain unchanged, though this offset is considered lower-quality as it depends on oil, gas, and NGL prices and conversion ratios.

Positive portfolio developments include progress at Cobre, the Copper World FID, the Bullabulling financing, and the Côté buyback. However, most of these events were already telegraphed or are staged over multiple periods. The formal cut to the precious-metals guide remains the primary market-relevant negative.

FNV · Price
Company Overview

Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) is a gold-focused royalty and streaming company that operates a large, diversified portfolio of cash-flow producing assets. The company is debt-free and generated record year-to-date revenue and operating cash flow in 2026. As of September 30, 2026, it held US$4.8 billion in available capital.

The portfolio encompasses streams and royalties on Cobre Panamá, Côté Gold, Detour Lake, Hemlo, Musselwhite, Porcupine, Canadian Malartic, Casa Berardi, Antamina, Antapaccay, Candelaria, Guadalupe-Palmarejo, Western Limb, Stillwater, and various energy royalties. The Asset Handbook cited 121 cash-flow producing assets within the portfolio.

Revenue is geographically diversified but weighted toward the Americas, with 89% of Q3 revenue coming from the region. The model limits exposure to mining cost inflation, but it does not control operator decisions, grades, throughput, permitting, or capital allocation.

Key growth optionality includes Cobre restart, Copper World, Bullabulling, Casa Berardi, Valentine, Greenstone, Antapaccay’s Coroccohuayco, Ring of Fire, and the i-80 Gold Nevada portfolio.

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