Northwire Canada EditionSaturday, July 11, 2026
Northwire
GLDN 0.055 +0.0% BRON 0.040 +0.0% BTO 5.43 −0.7% ESK 0.365 −2.7% AUMN 0.275 +0.0% GGX 0.040 +0.0% S 0.155 +29.2% NNX 0.035 +0.0% ABX 51.90 −0.6% TTS 2.40 −4.0% FCI 0.400 −9.1% GR 0.075 +0.0% AII 23.38 +12.4% TUNG 1.72 +1.8% LGO 1.01 −2.9% EMM 0.080 +0.0% GLDN 0.055 +0.0% BRON 0.040 +0.0% BTO 5.43 −0.7% ESK 0.365 −2.7% AUMN 0.275 +0.0% GGX 0.040 +0.0% S 0.155 +29.2% NNX 0.035 +0.0% ABX 51.90 −0.6% TTS 2.40 −4.0% FCI 0.400 −9.1% GR 0.075 +0.0% AII 23.38 +12.4% TUNG 1.72 +1.8% LGO 1.01 −2.9% EMM 0.080 +0.0%
Production / Operations Routine −

Tethys Petroleum receives reserve report

Kazakhstan Fiscal Burden Weighs on Reserve Valuation Despite Stable Volumes

Executive Summary
  • The most recent release (April 10, 2026) is a NI 51-101 compliant reserve report for year-end 2025.
  • Total proved and probable reserves volumes are reported as "about the same" as 2024 levels.
  • Net Present Value (NPV) of proved plus probable reserves declined approximately 15% to $474 million from $560 million in 2024.
  • The decline is attributed primarily to lower Brent crude oil price assumptions and a reduced domestic oil price environment in Kazakhstan.
  • The report reaffirms that the fiscal and regulatory framework in Kazakhstan imposes a "significantly high tax and cost burden" on exported hydrocarbons.
  • Previous operational updates (Feb-March 2026) indicated production ramp-up plans to ~700 t/d following equipment upgrades, though April news focuses on valuation rather than volume growth.
Material Impact
  • The decline in NPV is negative for asset valuation but largely driven by external commodity price assumptions and known fiscal risks previously disclosed.
  • Reserve volumes remaining stable prevents a "Material - Negative" classification regarding resource depletion or operational failure.
  • However, the confirmation of high tax burdens without volume growth reinforces downside pressure on intrinsic value relative to the $1.75 acquisition offer seen in late 2025.
  • The news does not introduce new operational risks but confirms existing headwinds, making it a Routine - Negative update for valuation models.
TPL · Price
Company Overview
  • Tethys Petroleum operates primarily in Kazakhstan, focusing on the Kul-Bas oil field and Aral 4 exploration block.
  • Flagship Project: Kul-Bas Oil Field (Production Period officially commenced Feb 2026 through July 2048).
  • Production wells include KBD-02, KBD-06, and KBD-07 with average output reported around 323-382 t/d in early 2026.
  • Gas fields Kyzyloi and Akkulka contribute approximately 222,000 m³/day across 20 wells.
  • Company is transitioning from exploration/development to production phase with infrastructure upgrades ongoing.
Read the original news release →

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