Northwire Canada EditionThursday, October 15, 2026
Northwire
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GOLD 4107.90 −1.7% SILVER 55.88 −6.1% COPPER 6.62 −1.6% OIL 95.09 +1.0% PALLADIUM 1096.50 −2.7% CIA 2.64 −0.4% BTO 7.09 −4.3% MCI 0.155 +0.0% CAN 0.065 +0.0% BLDS 0.335 +8.1% SAO 0.050 +0.0% SF 0.315 +0.0% BEA 0.055 −15.4% BMM 3.90 +11.1% AUGC 0.295 −13.2% MFG 3.34 −3.8% CDE 21.33 −7.7% CYG 0.160 −5.9% RSMX 0.100 −4.8% TUF 0.830 −5.7% GPG 0.285 −3.4% GOLD 4107.90 −1.7% SILVER 55.88 −6.1% COPPER 6.62 −1.6% OIL 95.09 +1.0% PALLADIUM 1096.50 −2.7% CIA 2.64 −0.4% BTO 7.09 −4.3% MCI 0.155 +0.0% CAN 0.065 +0.0% BLDS 0.335 +8.1% SAO 0.050 +0.0% SF 0.315 +0.0% BEA 0.055 −15.4% BMM 3.90 +11.1% AUGC 0.295 −13.2% MFG 3.34 −3.8% CDE 21.33 −7.7% CYG 0.160 −5.9% RSMX 0.100 −4.8% TUF 0.830 −5.7% GPG 0.285 −3.4%
Production / Operations

Tethys Petroleum receives reserve report

Kazakhstan Fiscal Burden Weighs on Reserve Valuation Despite Stable Volumes

Executive Summary
  • The most recent release (April 10, 2026) is a NI 51-101 compliant reserve report for year-end 2025.
  • Total proved and probable reserves volumes are reported as "about the same" as 2024 levels.
  • Net Present Value (NPV) of proved plus probable reserves declined approximately 15% to $474 million from $560 million in 2024.
  • The decline is attributed primarily to lower Brent crude oil price assumptions and a reduced domestic oil price environment in Kazakhstan.
  • The report reaffirms that the fiscal and regulatory framework in Kazakhstan imposes a "significantly high tax and cost burden" on exported hydrocarbons.
  • Previous operational updates (Feb-March 2026) indicated production ramp-up plans to ~700 t/d following equipment upgrades, though April news focuses on valuation rather than volume growth.
Material Impact
  • The decline in NPV is negative for asset valuation but largely driven by external commodity price assumptions and known fiscal risks previously disclosed.
  • Reserve volumes remaining stable prevents a "Material - Negative" classification regarding resource depletion or operational failure.
  • However, the confirmation of high tax burdens without volume growth reinforces downside pressure on intrinsic value relative to the $1.75 acquisition offer seen in late 2025.
  • The news does not introduce new operational risks but confirms existing headwinds, making it a Routine - Negative update for valuation models.
TPL · Price
Company Overview
  • Tethys Petroleum operates primarily in Kazakhstan, focusing on the Kul-Bas oil field and Aral 4 exploration block.
  • Flagship Project: Kul-Bas Oil Field (Production Period officially commenced Feb 2026 through July 2048).
  • Production wells include KBD-02, KBD-06, and KBD-07 with average output reported around 323-382 t/d in early 2026.
  • Gas fields Kyzyloi and Akkulka contribute approximately 222,000 m³/day across 20 wells.
  • Company is transitioning from exploration/development to production phase with infrastructure upgrades ongoing.
Read the original news release →

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