Production / Operations
Tethys Petroleum receives reserve report
Kazakhstan Fiscal Burden Weighs on Reserve Valuation Despite Stable Volumes

Executive Summary
- The most recent release (April 10, 2026) is a NI 51-101 compliant reserve report for year-end 2025.
- Total proved and probable reserves volumes are reported as "about the same" as 2024 levels.
- Net Present Value (NPV) of proved plus probable reserves declined approximately 15% to $474 million from $560 million in 2024.
- The decline is attributed primarily to lower Brent crude oil price assumptions and a reduced domestic oil price environment in Kazakhstan.
- The report reaffirms that the fiscal and regulatory framework in Kazakhstan imposes a "significantly high tax and cost burden" on exported hydrocarbons.
- Previous operational updates (Feb-March 2026) indicated production ramp-up plans to ~700 t/d following equipment upgrades, though April news focuses on valuation rather than volume growth.
Material Impact
- The decline in NPV is negative for asset valuation but largely driven by external commodity price assumptions and known fiscal risks previously disclosed.
- Reserve volumes remaining stable prevents a "Material - Negative" classification regarding resource depletion or operational failure.
- However, the confirmation of high tax burdens without volume growth reinforces downside pressure on intrinsic value relative to the $1.75 acquisition offer seen in late 2025.
- The news does not introduce new operational risks but confirms existing headwinds, making it a Routine - Negative update for valuation models.
TPL · Price
Company Overview
- Tethys Petroleum operates primarily in Kazakhstan, focusing on the Kul-Bas oil field and Aral 4 exploration block.
- Flagship Project: Kul-Bas Oil Field (Production Period officially commenced Feb 2026 through July 2048).
- Production wells include KBD-02, KBD-06, and KBD-07 with average output reported around 323-382 t/d in early 2026.
- Gas fields Kyzyloi and Akkulka contribute approximately 222,000 m³/day across 20 wells.
- Company is transitioning from exploration/development to production phase with infrastructure upgrades ongoing.
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May 28, 2026 · 18:01