Northwire Canada EditionThursday, October 15, 2026
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Regulatory

Base Carbon Provides Update on Vietnam Regulatory Framework for International Carbon Credit Transfers

Base Carbon’s Vietnam regulatory win unlocks $5‑per‑credit buy‑back option, expanding its compliance‑grade inventory to 19.7 M credits

Executive Summary
  • On 8 Apr 2026 the Vietnamese government issued Decree No. 112/2026/ND‑CP establishing a formal framework for international carbon‑credit transfers under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, effective 19 May 2026.
  • The decree creates a Letter of Authorization (LOA) and Corresponding Adjustment process that Base Carbon can now apply for on its Vietnam Household Devices project, its largest portfolio asset.
  • The project is expected to generate 7.6 M credits in Phase 2 (2025‑2032) and includes an expansion option for up to 4.7 M additional credits (total potential ~19.7 M).
  • Base Carbon retains the right to purchase all future credits at US$5.00 each (with higher‑priced options for partner SIPCO).
  • The LOA would make the credits eligible for CORSIA and Singapore’s carbon tax regime (currently S$45/t, rising to S$50‑S$80/t by 2030‑31).
  • The company cites a precedent: Rwanda Cookstoves project secured an LOA earlier in 2026, achieved CORSIA eligibility, and completed its first compliance sales.
Material Impact
  • Regulatory catalyst: The decree converts Vietnam’s previously ambiguous policy environment into a concrete, market‑ready pathway. This is a new development not priced in by the market; prior guidance only mentioned “potential” regulatory approval.
  • Inventory upside: Ability to lock‑in a $5/credit purchase price for up to 7.6 M credits (plus optional 4.7 M) creates a sizable, low‑cost supply of compliance‑grade carbon credits. At current CORSIA pricing ($30‑$60/t), the embedded value is $228‑$456 M, far exceeding the company’s market cap.
  • Revenue certainty: The LOA and purchase option provide a clear monetization route into high‑integrity markets (CORSIA, Singapore tax). This reduces execution risk compared with projects still awaiting approval.
  • Alignment with prior expectations: Earlier releases (Feb 2026) announced Rwanda’s CORSIA eligibility; the Vietnam decree fulfills a similar regulatory milestone that management had signaled would be “meaningful”. The news is in line with those expectations but now delivers concrete, quantifiable upside—hence material positive rather than routine.
  • Risk considerations: The LOA still requires an application and approval by SIPCO; timing (effective 19 May) leaves a short window before the next reporting period. Execution risk remains modest given the precedent in Rwanda.
BCBN · Price
Company Overview

Base Carbon Inc. develops, finances, and manages carbon‑credit projects in emerging markets. Its three flagship assets are:
1. Vietnam Household Devices – cookstove & water‑purifier distribution; Phase 2 slated for 7.6 M credits with a 4.7 M credit expansion option.
2. Rwanda Cookstoves – already CORSIA‑eligible, generating ~1–2 M credits annually.
3. India Afforestation/RE/REV (ARR) – 6.5 M trees planted; targeting ~1.2 M credits with optional expansions.

Read the original news release →

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