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Kelt Reports Financial and Operating Results for the Quarter and Year Ended December 31, 2025

KEL · Price
Executive Summary
- Kelt Exploration reported a record net income of C$63.1 M for FY 2025, up 39% YoY, with adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) of C$261.5 M (+18%).
- Average production increased to 45,102 BOE/d in Q4 2025 (+24% QoQ) and 40,397 BOE/d for the full year (+22% YoY).
- The company raised its 2026 AFFO guidance by C$20 M to C$375.0 M and lifted its WTI price forecast to US$69.40/bbl (+18%).
Key Details
- Financial Highlights (Q4 2025 vs Q4 2024)
- Petroleum & natural gas sales: C$143.8 M (+15%)
- Cash provided by operating activities: C$62.8 M (+31%)
- Adjusted funds from operations: C$76.8 M (0.38 $/diluted share) (+11%)
- Net income: C$19.1 M (0.09 $/diluted share) (+38%)
- Annual Highlights (2025 vs 2024)
- Total sales: C$513.1 M (+10%)
- AFFO: C$261.5 M (1.29 $/diluted share) (+18%)
- Net income: C$63.1 M (0.31 $/diluted share) (+39%)
- Bank debt increased to C$179.9 M; net debt C$189.7 M (0.7× AFFO).
- Production
- Q4 average production: 45,102 BOE/d (Oil 11,024 bbl/d, NGLs 5,790 bbl/d, Gas 169,725 mcf/d)
- FY average production: 40,397 BOE/d (Oil 9,316 bbl/d, NGLs 5,545 bbl/d, Gas 153,214 mcf/d)
- Forecast Q1‑2026 production: 46,000–47,000 BOE/d.
- Pricing
- Oil price (Q4): US$74.29/bbl, down 20% YoY.
- NGLs price (Q4): US$32.49/bbl, down 16% YoY.
- Gas price (Q4): C$2.96/mcf, up 47% YoY.
- Capital Expenditures
- Q4 2025 capex: C$42.8 M (down 56% QoQ).
- FY 2025 capex: C$328.3 M (net of A&D).
- 2026 capital program unchanged at C$355.0 M, now forecast AFFO C$375.0 M.
- Operations Update
- Wembley/Pipestone: plan to drill 16 wells and complete 17 in 2026; 12 wells already drilled/completed by Q2‑2026.
- Pouce Coupe West: two Montney wells now producing.
- Oak: completed 3‑D seismic over ~110 sections, improving lateral drilling efficiency.
- Reserves (as of Dec 31 2025)
- Proved Developed Producing (PDP): 83.5 M BOE (+6% YoY).
- Proved: 265.1 M BOE (‑0.7%).
- Proved + Probable (P+P): 448.3 M BOE (+3%).
- Reserve Valuation
- NPV10% (PDP) = C$887.3 M (↑1%).
- NPV10% (Proved) = C$1,961.8 M (‑9%).
- NPV10% (P+P) = C$3,311.3 M (‑5%).
- Future Development Capital (FDC)
- Total FDC for P+P reserves: C$3.12 B covering 422 wells (Alberta Montney 276, BC Montney 91, Charlie Lake 47).
- Net Asset Value
- NAV per share at Dec 31 2025: C$15.62, ~104% above the closing price of C$7.67.
Notable Quotes
“We remain on track to deliver strong production growth in 2026, supported by our revised capital program and higher commodity price assumptions,” – David J. Wilson, President & CEO.
Materiality Assessment: Material – Positive (significant earnings increase, production growth, upgraded guidance).
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