Northwire Canada EditionTuesday, September 15, 2026
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GOLD 4351.90 −1.3% SILVER 63.76 −2.2% COPPER 6.40 −2.3% OIL 101.39 +1.3% PALLADIUM 1296.50 −2.1% QGR 0.200 +0.0% MSC 0.015 −25.0% GENM 0.705 −0.7% URC 3.89 +0.0% SHL 0.400 +4.6% AZS 0.750 −8.5% FL 0.415 +0.0% HMMC 8.29 −1.1% NAR 0.260 −5.5% GCN 0.030 −14.3% RIO 3.54 −1.4% EVI 0.430 +2.4% CTV 0.110 −4.3% ECOR 3.10 −4.0% TLG 2.20 +0.0% UCU 2.59 +2.8% GOLD 4351.90 −1.3% SILVER 63.76 −2.2% COPPER 6.40 −2.3% OIL 101.39 +1.3% PALLADIUM 1296.50 −2.1% QGR 0.200 +0.0% MSC 0.015 −25.0% GENM 0.705 −0.7% URC 3.89 +0.0% SHL 0.400 +4.6% AZS 0.750 −8.5% FL 0.415 +0.0% HMMC 8.29 −1.1% NAR 0.260 −5.5% GCN 0.030 −14.3% RIO 3.54 −1.4% EVI 0.430 +2.4% CTV 0.110 −4.3% ECOR 3.10 −4.0% TLG 2.20 +0.0% UCU 2.59 +2.8%
Production / Operations Routine +

Lundin Mining Capital Markets Day Highlights Strategic Vision for Leading Growth and Shareholder Returns

Lundin reaffirms 2026 guidance and raises long-term free cash flow outlook despite increased capital intensity from the Saúva mill sanction.

By The Northwire Desk — AI Analysis Jun 16, 2026 · 19:30 LUN · 41.25 Lundin Mining Corporation
Executive Summary
  • Lundin Mining hosted its second annual Capital Markets Day, outlining a strategic vision to become a top-ten global copper producer targeting >500,000 tonnes Cu and 550,000 oz Au annually.
  • The company maintained its 2026 consolidated copper production guidance (310,000–335,000 t) and cash cost guidance ($1.90–$2.10/lb).
  • Expansionary capital expenditure guidance was increased to $85 million (from $50 million) to reflect the sanctioned Saúva ball mill construction at Chapada.
  • A five- and ten-year financial outlook was provided, forecasting cumulative adjusted EBITDA of $13.2 billion (2026–2030) and $22.3 billion (2031–2035), alongside cumulative adjusted free cash flow of $8.1 billion and $15.5 billion respectively.
  • The company targets an annual distribution of $220 million through regular dividends and share buybacks.
  • Asset updates include Caserones cathode expansion, Candelaria underground insourcing, Chapada Saúva project engineering, and Vicuña Project progress toward a sanctioning decision by end of 2026.
Material Impact
  • The Capital Markets Day provides a strategic roadmap and long-term financial model but does not introduce unflagged surprises. Guidance for 2026 is reaffirmed, and the modest capex increase is offset by strong operating cash flow and a $4.5 billion credit facility.
  • The market has already priced in significant progress on the Vicuña Project, the Caserones/Los Helados acquisition, and the Eagle mine sale. The stock has tripled from ~$13.64 (Jul 2025) to $41.25 (Jun 2026).
  • This is a Routine - Positive update. It reinforces execution credibility and capital allocation discipline without altering the fundamental risk/reward profile materially.
LUN · Price
Company Overview
  • Lundin Mining is a copper-dominant producer operating Candelaria (Chile, 80%), Caserones (Chile, 75%), and Chapada (Brazil, 100%).
  • The company completed the sale of its Eagle Mine (Canada) to Talon Metals in Jan 2026, transitioning to a pure-play copper focus.
  • Vicuña Project (50% JV with BHP) spans Argentina and Chile, comprising the Josemaria and Filo del Sol deposits. It is the cornerstone of long-term growth.
  • Los Helados Project (30.9% interest + 0.62% NSR) adds copper-gold-silver resource optionality near Caserones.
Read the original news release →

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Sep 15, 2026 · 03:26

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Production / Operations Aug 19, 2026 · 02:00

Lundin trimmed its copper production guidance following a second storm, while maintaining the option to expand the Vicuña project.

Production / Operations Jul 27, 2026 · 02:00

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Production / Operations Jul 21, 2026 · 04:00

Lundin’s Chile winter storm temporarily halts Caserones operations while year guidance remains intact and the Vicuña project approaches final investment decision.

Production / Operations Jul 16, 2026 · 17:30

Lundin’s Vicuña project remains six months from production as provisional pricing offsets flat operational performance.

Earnings Jun 16, 2026 · 17:00

Lundin’s Vicuña project clears a key regulatory milestone, clearing the path to a final investment decision despite existing valuation pricing in near-term execution risks.

Regulatory