Northwire Canada EditionThursday, October 15, 2026
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GOLD 4107.90 −1.7% SILVER 55.88 −6.1% COPPER 6.62 −1.6% OIL 95.09 +1.0% PALLADIUM 1096.50 −2.7% CIA 2.64 −0.4% BTO 7.09 −4.3% MCI 0.155 +0.0% CAN 0.065 +0.0% BLDS 0.335 +8.1% SAO 0.050 +0.0% SF 0.315 +0.0% BEA 0.055 −15.4% BMM 3.90 +11.1% AUGC 0.295 −13.2% MFG 3.34 −3.8% CDE 21.33 −7.7% CYG 0.160 −5.9% RSMX 0.100 −4.8% TUF 0.830 −5.7% GPG 0.285 −3.4% GOLD 4107.90 −1.7% SILVER 55.88 −6.1% COPPER 6.62 −1.6% OIL 95.09 +1.0% PALLADIUM 1096.50 −2.7% CIA 2.64 −0.4% BTO 7.09 −4.3% MCI 0.155 +0.0% CAN 0.065 +0.0% BLDS 0.335 +8.1% SAO 0.050 +0.0% SF 0.315 +0.0% BEA 0.055 −15.4% BMM 3.90 +11.1% AUGC 0.295 −13.2% MFG 3.34 −3.8% CDE 21.33 −7.7% CYG 0.160 −5.9% RSMX 0.100 −4.8% TUF 0.830 −5.7% GPG 0.285 −3.4%
Earnings

Athabasca Oil Announces 2025 Third Quarter Results Highlighted by Consistent Operational Performance, Continued Share Buybacks and a Pristine Financial Position

ATH · Price

Executive Summary

  • Athabasca Oil reported Q3 2025 consolidated production of 39,599 boe/d (98% liquids), a 2% YoY increase and 11% per‑share growth.
  • Adjusted Funds Flow reached $129 M ($0.26/share) with free cash flow of $56 M; the company returned $192 M to shareholders via share buy‑backs and reaffirmed its commitment to return 100% of thermal‑oil free cash flow in 2025.
  • Capital program remains on schedule: $96 M total capex in Q3 (including $61 M at Leismer) toward the $300 M Leismer expansion, ~50% complete and expected to reach 40,000 bbl/d capacity by end‑2027.

Key Details

  • Production
  • Consolidated average: 39,599 boe/d (98% liquids).
  • Thermal Oil (Athabasca): 36,590 bbl/d (Leismer ~28,000 bbl/d; Hangingstone ~9,000 bbl/d).
  • Duvernay Energy (DEC): 3,009 boe/d (75% liquids).

  • Financial Performance

  • Adjusted Funds Flow: $129 M ($0.26/share) – up from $163.7 M YoY (full‑year basis).
  • Cash flow from operations: $157 M.
  • Free Cash Flow (Thermal Oil): $56 M; Corporate free cash flow $33 M.
  • Operating Income (Consolidated): $151.8 M; Net income $69.6 M ($0.14/share).

  • Shareholder Returns

  • Share buy‑back program: 34 million shares repurchased YTD for $192 M.
  • Total buy‑backs since March 2023 ≈ $675 M.

  • Capital Expenditures

  • Q3 total capex $96.2 M (Thermal Oil $64.97 M; DEC $31.23 M).
  • Leismer expansion: $300 M project, ~50% complete by year‑end 2025, substantially complete by year‑end 2026.
  • Planned facility turnaround in May 2026 (four‑week duration).

  • Leismer Update

  • Current production ~28,000 bbl/d; two well pairs on Pad L10 now producing, additional pairs steaming for 2026.
  • Six‑well‑pair spud on Pad L11 to support next growth phase.
  • Expansion equipment installation (pilings, degasser, heat exchangers, treater) ongoing.

  • Hangingstone Update

  • Production ~9,000 bbl/d; two extended‑reach well pairs in production delivering 800–1,000 bbl/d each.
  • Minimal capex expected for 2026; two‑week turnaround scheduled April 2026.

  • Corner Asset

  • 351 MMbbl P+P reserves; regulatory approval for 40,000 bbl/d.
  • Development planned as modular 15,000 bbl/d phases, self‑funded; sanction‑ready target 2026.

  • Duvernay Energy (DEC) Update

  • Q3 production 3,009 boe/d (75% liquids).
  • Four‑well pad (30% working interest) on production with avg IP30 ≈ 1,050 boe/d; three‑well pad (100% WI) to start Q4.
  • Capital spend $31.2 M in Q3; flexible spending schedule, no near‑term land expiries.

  • Guidance & Outlook (2025)

  • Consolidated production outlook: upper end of prior guidance 37,500–39,500 boe/d.
  • Thermal Oil capital budget unchanged at ~$250 M; Leismer expansion projected $300 M total.
  • Adjusted Funds Flow forecast $525‑$550 M (Thermal Oil $475‑$500 M).
  • Free cash flow from Thermal Oil expected ~ $250 M, to be returned via share buy‑backs.

  • Liquidity & Balance Sheet

  • Net cash: $93 M; total liquidity $466 M (cash $334 M + credit facilities $131 M).
  • Long‑dated term debt maturing 2029: $201.7 M.

Notable Quotes

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